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DATA MONITOR
August 2024

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UK Riots: Top five instigators that post climate misinformation too

Last month, a series of riots broke out in England and Northern Ireland. Organised by the far right, they were triggered by misinformation around the tragic murder of three young girls in Southport, England.


Posters on X made false claims about the killer, who was born in Wales, soon after news of the attack broke, including that he was a recent migrant, a Muslim, a refugee, or other vocabulary understood to be racist or far right dog whistles. This misinformation is widely considered to be a key cause of the riots, which in many cases targeted Mosques and Muslim communities.  


Many of the accounts that instigated the violence are no strangers to climate misinformation. This data monitor covers some of those accounts, why they get involved in the influencer phenomenon known as ‘issue stacking’, and what we can do about the real world harms that come from it.


Content warning: Extreme hate against multiple protected groups including women, people of colour and LGBTQIA+ identities. Reproductions of violence


TOP 5 DISINFLUENCERS

Andrew Tate


On Southport: One of the most widespread false posts about the attack before the riots took place came from alleged sex trafficker Andrew Tate. Tate falsely claimed the killer is an “illegal migrant” to his 10 million followers, many of which will be his main audience of young men and boys.

Climate and other activity: Tate is a self-proclaimed misogynist influencer who has dabbled in plenty of climate misinformation too. His most famous involvement was losing a Twitter fight (that he started) with climate activist Greta Thunberg. This petro-masculinity - connecting his climate emissions to his identity as a man, and support of patriarchy -  is part of Tate’s brand. But he doesn’t stop there. He often posts climate conspiracy theories, including an important contribution to the trending of the hashtag #ClimateScam on X.

Bernie Spofforth


On Southport: Spofforth was one of the first, if not the first, account on X to circulate a false name for the attacker. Since then she has been portrayed by some local and national British media as a well-meaning British businesswoman that is “horrified” to have made an honest mistake. Spofforth has since been arrested for the post that helped instigate the UK riots.

Climate and other activity: If Spofforth’s digital footprint is anything to go by, the media portrayal is a gross mischaracterisation. The swimwear business owner amassed around 250,000 followers on a now deleted X (then Twitter) account by posting a host of public health misinformation around Covid-19, vaccines and lockdowns, as well as occasional transphobic content. She has also spread climate conspiracies such as 15 minute cities and the New World Order, claimed net zero policies will cause millions of deaths and mass poverty, cherry picked information to exaggerate the downsides of climate policies, and published climate denial.

Laurence Fox


On Southport: Leader of extreme right party Reclaim UK, Fox initially retweeted Spofforth’s misinformation to his over 500,000 followers. Fox then doubled down by making more unsubstantiated and false claims. These include claims that the killer was on a terror watch list, arrived undocumented on a boat in 2023, and that the police should not try to stop those that are exposing “extreme elements of the Muslim community.” Then followed a stream of not-so-subtle calls for violence plus further spreading of misinformation, even after correct nformation emerged.

Climate and other activity: Fox frequently denies the existence and/or severity of climate change. He regularly uses it as an angle to criticise political parties and politicians. When writing about the Mayor of London, who is a Muslim, Fox frequently brings up race, and posts an ongoing narrative that climate policies are being used as a smokescreen to ‘scam’ ‘the most “vulnerable” and lead to the destruction of “our great country”. Fox has also linked climate change to Covid 19, free speech and “cancel culture”, transgender identities, crime, and other things.

Darren Grimes


On Southport: One of the most popular false posts on X about the Southport attacker came from Darren Grimes. Though Grimes fell short of explicitly giving a false name or identity, in this post he misleadingly links a speech in the UK Parliament about refugees to the Southport murders. In the period ahead of the attacker’s identity being revealed, Grimes also posted about “foreign hate preachers” and “importing mental health issues”. In case that was too subtle, Grimes twice explicitly linked these criticisms of “foreigners” to murder. In addition to X, two of these posts appeared on Facebook, and one on Instagram, without any apparent action taken.


Climate and other activity: Grimes’s posts on X, Facebook and Instagram are highly xenophobic and sometimes transphobic, so it’s no surprise that much of his commentary on climate change has similar undertones. He has complained about “climate reparations” helping “give to the foreigner” and government “funding migrants” while “our own people freeze”. His criticism of climate policy focuses on foreign states like China as a reason not to decarbonise. A recent post brings a lot of issues together, outright criticising net zero policy alongside those on migration, taxes, islamists, “trans ideology” and “critical race theory”.

Nigel Farage


On Southport: While Reform UK’s leader stopped short of out and out misinformation on the Southport tragedy, his whataboutery stance is widely considered to have contributed to the violence that took place thereafter. His post took place on Facebook as well as X. As with all posts analysed in this newsletter, they remain on the platforms without any kind of fact check, note or disclaimer.

Climate and other activity: Farage is the leader of a fossil fuel backed political party that pledges to scrap the UK’s legally binding net zero target. Farage himself has repeatedly cast doubt on climate science, though lately has shifted to delayism, criticising the UK’s legally binding net zero by 2050 policy. His party focuses heavily on lowering legal and illegal migration to the UK, but Reform UK’s manifesto also included banning “transgender ideology” in schools and leaving the European Convention on Human Rights. 


WHY 'ISSUE STACKING' PAYS

Examining the crossovers in these disinfluencers’ newsfeeds helps us shine a light on the phenomenon known as issue stacking. This is the simultaneous posting about multiple emotionally-charged issues, usually through the lens of grievance politics. Most commonly, climate misinformation is brought into a curated list of issues by associated specifically with right or far-right politics. Issues can include any of, and not limited to, rejection of LGBTQIA+ identities, denial of Covid-19, denial of the Holocaust, and conspiracy theories about vaccinations, QAnon, the New World Order, and so on. With climate in particular, this is an effective strategy, as in principle climate and nature policies are broadly popular. After all, no one likes dirty air.


This strategy works because social media companies make posting provocative, controversial and false content profitable; sometimes known as the ‘attention economy’ or, in the case of posting outrageous content, the ‘outrage economy’. Posting emotional content brings you to the top of newsfeeds that are geared towards engagement instead of accuracy. This clout then provides a platform from which to build income streams through advertising revenue, merchandise, and additional avenues for monetization.


Unfortunately, tragic events like the Southport murders are among the best opportunities for engagement in the outrage economy, as it’s a prime time for people to react quickly and passionately to new information. It’s also a time where platforms are at their weakest. New information is generated too fast for humans to keep up, and machine learning doesn’t know how to respond to new events it has not been trained on. The same happens with climate change - extreme weather events and policy announcements are followed by spikes of misinformation to frame the news.

Credit: Mika Baumeister



WHAT CAN WE DO ABOUT IT?

While other platforms and messaging services like Facebook, TikTok and Telegram are culpable for spreading misinformation and allowing the organisation of riots, X is the platform that kickstarted and incubated the initial misinformation that fuelled them. Report after report has confirmed that despite decreasing transparency, lately, harmful, false and illegal content has flourished on the platform.

Elon Musk is accused of spreading US election misinformation on X, the influential social media platform he bought in 2022. © Alain Jocard, AFP

X’s policies are not up to scratch, and even where it has them, they are not properly enforced. This is no more evident than in the fact that while Facebook and Youtube suspended the commercial news aggregator that accidentally spread the attacker’s false name, the channel remains on X. One notable area of policy is that of prolific misinformation spreaders like these chancers, who are repeat offenders. Because of issue stacking, dealing with one area of harm usually helps dealing with others too. Deplatforming the most extreme accounts - instead of bringing them back like X has - would go a long way. A second level of intervention involves, de-amplifying the most harmful content by reducing its spread to so many newsfeeds in the algorithm. Most platforms do this in some way - though usually very poorly enforced on climate misinformation. X, meanwhile, no longer has any visible misinformation policy. Media literacy and promoting correct information are also important ways a platform can contribute.

Twitter (X’s predecessor) had a long-running tagline “What’s Happening?”. Unfortunately, X is no longer a reliable answer to that question. But despite the deterioration of information quality on X, the platform receives a disproportionate amount of attention for breaking news. Journalists, politicians and others that rely on X would do well to seek alternatives. Some already are.

Illustration by Zak Bickel/The New York Times; images by Shutterstock

Advertisers in particular should be wary of the brand safety risk X presents to their business model. Advertisers hold power in this situation, as platforms need revenue streams to operate. Many major advertisers have already fled platforms and other media that presents a brand safety risk, including climate misinformation.

IN OTHER NEWS

New academic study - repetition of climate misinformation can influence belief. In one of the first studies of its kind, Jiang et al in Plos One found that even one repetition of a false climate claim can influence people, including those that endorse climate science in the first place.

New UN climate rapporteur stresses importance of information integrity in tackling climate change. The report, written to inform nation states’ interpretation of the Paris agreement, underscores the importance of tackling climate misinformation, as well as the responsibilities of governments and businesses to proactively disseminate correct information.

Bots take advantage of the news cycle on X. Global Witness found a list of 45 bot-like accounts exploiting current events. First found tweeting partisan support for political parties during the UK general election, these accounts have moved on to posting gendered disinformation, racism and conspiracies in response to new current events.

Fossil fuel lobby still going strong heading into COP29. You would expect that an International Energy Agency summit on Clean Cooking might be hosted in Africa, but unfortunately, this May, it was held in Paris. As a result, African women were outnumbered by both European men and fossil fuel lobbyists at an event that affects them the most. We can’t say we’re surprised - check out our COP, Look, Listen bulletins from last year, many of which tracked fossil fuel influence at COP28.

After eight years of leading the pack, Facebook pulls the plug on Crowdtangle. It’s finally happened, and we can’t overstate how big a blow this is for platform transparency. A new website, RIP Crowdtangle, covers why it matters. Or you could read our June issue on why it matters for climate misinformation research specifically.

If you have any investigative leads CAAD should explore, want to find out more about our research and intel, or interview one of our members, please email contact@caad.info.

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